Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.542386 0.598592 0.659154 0.729429 0.808937 0.896337 1.000008
2025-10-12 0.456579 0.535143 0.626197 0.740254 0.880317 1.048007 1.265930
2025-10-19 0.405270 0.494231 0.602469 0.745310 0.931032 1.167363 1.495773
2025-10-26 0.368023 0.463081 0.583293 0.748766 0.974260 1.276222 1.720570
2025-11-02 0.340549 0.440063 0.570137 0.755849 1.019591 1.389239 1.962287
2025-11-09 0.310014 0.409409 0.542907 0.739386 1.028285 1.449243 2.131998
2025-11-16 0.292012 0.393733 0.533969 0.746540 1.069942 1.559731 2.391172
2025-11-23 0.272670 0.374316 0.517659 0.740629 1.090246 1.638377 2.608212
2025-11-30 0.258664 0.361233 0.509055 0.744813 1.125544 1.743200 2.882330
2025-12-07 0.242423 0.343578 0.492123 0.734237 1.135476 1.806408 3.090733
2025-12-14 0.228108 0.327737 0.476615 0.724264 1.144824 1.868655 3.304928
2025-12-21 0.211455 0.307255 0.452496 0.698230 1.124177 1.875407 3.412583
2025-12-28 0.205342 0.302798 0.453369 0.713882 1.177908 2.023523 3.827496
2026-01-04 0.198655 0.297003 0.451678 0.725020 1.224714 2.164538 4.252905
2026-01-11 0.191279 0.289591 0.446743 0.729933 1.260268 2.287671 4.660725
2026-01-18 0.184208 0.282206 0.441282 0.733304 1.292965 2.408643 5.085111
2026-01-25 0.178321 0.276386 0.438006 0.740211 1.332933 2.549135 5.581975
2026-02-01 0.168904 0.264142 0.422947 0.724157 1.325668 2.588232 5.835115
2026-02-08 0.164003 0.259248 0.420315 0.731134 1.365611 2.734996 6.393797
2026-02-15 0.157407 0.251088 0.411409 0.725368 1.378422 2.822222 6.810854
2026-02-22 0.152765 0.246053 0.407750 0.729449 1.412354 2.962293 7.404824
2026-03-01 0.146302 0.237502 0.397228 0.719135 1.414008 3.025765 7.790222
2026-03-08 0.140332 0.229542 0.387352 0.709409 1.416030 3.090363 8.193455